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Objective I like, a lot. The Golden Bridge DC reminds us of via Sun Tzu, what would it be made of, allowing two phases. First, the current campaign. Second, the longer strategic game of Putin? Until we begin to piece that together, and hope we are not alone...?

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Thanks Stu - yes, provocative bed time reading. On the Russian military tool box etc I haven't really understood what the situation is in terms of availability and deployment of their land attack cruise missiles. I've picked up the numerous reports of single cm strikes in various places but little in the way of sustained use which surprises me (as someone who really knows very little about this at all).

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Yes, the whole situation is quite unpredictable. There are so many moving parts. The scale of events is huge.

I think it’s probably going to get bogged down into something quite long winded and lots of horrors are probably going to get normalised. Our news will move on to other things before long, but events in Ukraine will keep rumbling away.

But who really knows?

Refugees will probably keep coming as more and more of Ukraine is reduced to ruins. 3 million have already left an another 3 millions displaced internally and fleeing the war.

The immigration wave is going to change politics all across European countries.

Also demand for stronger plainer talking political leaders is probably going to increase.

There are lots of domestic problems that make up the fallout of this war.

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lots of good stuff to read and reread but v quickly when do China and Russia bring Iran into the fold and what of Saudi position then. Imran Khan has come out in support of Russia tonight and I believe is facing a no confidence vote presumably to bring him in line. Are we going to see lots of attempts at turbo regime changes? Is Venezuela next? An attempt to race to ‘Green new deal’ to cover up collapse of petrodollar (which will fail as more people wake up…)

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These are good points anna, Iran seems to be being courted this week.

UK have repaid a long standing £400m debt to Iran, prisoners released, etc.

Which way will Iran go? We don’t really know yet do we?

Saudi also playing hard to get.

There have been quite a lot of 3rd party countries that have not signed up to either side of this conflict. It’s quite telling really. The world suddenly feels a lot less unipolar than it did before COVID.

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